December 8, 2022

Poker

Its all about the cards!

Are You Calculating Poker Equity WRONG?

1 min read

0:00 Equity Question
0:57 The 4-2 Rule
3:53 Should I Just Fold?
6:25 Work On Your Math Skills With My Workbook

Joe asks:
Let’s say I am holding QJo in position heads up in a 3-bet pot and the flop comes 2h 5c 9s. Opponent bets 1/2 pot, giving me 3:1 odds. With 2 overcards, I have 24% equity to make top pair by the river. Here’s where I’m confused: He’s offering me the 3:1 odds to see the turn, but my equity is only close if I consider both the turn and the river. So if my odds of hitting on the turn are roughly 12%, do I have to fold to the bet on the flop?

I go over a common misconception between pot odds and equity when you don’t account for your opponents possible range and whether we should continue even if our odds don’t justify it.

#potodds and #equity

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· https://www.splitsuit.com/poker-preflop-math-workbook

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· https://www.splitsuit.com/implied-odds-poker
· https://www.splitsuit.com/easy-poker-pot-odds
· https://www.thepokerbank.com/strategy/mathematics/pot-odds/4-2/

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